Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.7% | 18.3% | -8.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -5 (117-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 11-19 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 12-17 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 15 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 10 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Thomas * | 33 | 8-21 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 32 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 29 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 25 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 30 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 22 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - |
* = starter