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2023-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% -
Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% -
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +10 (121-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 36 10-16 0-4 11-12 5 5 0 1 31 - -
Scottie Barnes * 34 3-11 2-7 4-4 7 8 1 4 12 - -
OG Anunoby * 34 4-9 0-4 4-4 4 5 1 0 12 - -
Dennis Schroder * 34 2-8 0-2 2-2 3 6 2 0 6 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 28 9-15 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 0 19 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 25 6-11 5-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 17 - -
Precious Achiuwa 16 2-9 0-2 0-2 6 1 2 0 4 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 14 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Malachi Flynn 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 - -
Jalen McDaniels 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Gradey Dick 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 40 13-22 4-10 3-3 4 10 0 0 33 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 12-23 5-9 4-4 8 7 1 0 33 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 11-21 2-2 7-8 10 9 2 4 31 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 30 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 5 0 0 7 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 25 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Robert Covington 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 - -
Danuel House Jr. 22 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 1 4 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
KJ Martin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Smart 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter