Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (116-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 37 | 7-19 | 2-12 | 1-2 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 32 | 5-14 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 28 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 27 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 18 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 35 | 11-26 | 5-12 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 33 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 25 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 18 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - |
* = starter