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2023-12-22

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% -
Bradley-Terry 12.2% 87.8% -
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +15.9 (34.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% -
Points Off/Def 48.0% 52.0% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -19 (104-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 33 7-15 2-8 2-2 6 4 4 1 18 - -
Herbert Jones * 29 3-7 0-1 1-1 1 4 0 1 7 - -
Brandon Ingram * 28 6-12 1-3 4-4 7 6 0 0 17 - -
Trey Murphy III * 28 10-16 6-10 2-2 4 3 1 1 28 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 6-9 1-3 0-0 7 5 1 1 13 - -
Naji Marshall 22 4-11 1-4 5-7 6 3 1 0 14 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 20 5-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Dyson Daniels 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Jose Alvarado 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Hawkins 12 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Strus * 33 4-16 2-12 3-5 3 5 0 0 13 - -
Isaac Okoro * 32 7-10 2-5 0-1 3 4 1 0 16 - -
Craig Porter Jr. * 29 3-9 1-1 0-0 3 11 1 0 7 - -
Dean Wade * 26 7-11 6-8 0-0 9 0 0 2 20 - -
Jarrett Allen * 26 7-8 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 14 - -
Caris LeVert 22 3-9 1-4 2-2 0 4 1 0 9 - -
Tristan Thompson 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 6 - -
Georges Niang 19 4-8 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 1 11 - -
Sam Merrill 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Emoni Bates 8 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Mobley 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Damian Jones 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter