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2023-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% -
Bradley-Terry 69.6% 30.4% -
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.9% 45.1% -
Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -25 (119-144). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Hauser * 34 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 7-13 4-6 3-3 8 10 2 1 21 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 11-21 0-3 6-7 5 6 0 0 28 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 29 7-11 3-4 7-8 9 2 0 6 24 - -
Derrick White * 29 10-13 6-9 2-3 2 7 1 3 28 - -
Payton Pritchard 29 6-12 6-11 2-3 4 4 1 0 20 - -
Neemias Queta 18 3-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 6 - -
Oshae Brissett 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 - -
Lamar Stevens 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 30 3-5 2-2 2-4 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Keegan Murray * 26 5-11 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 13 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 26 6-14 0-1 1-4 10 8 0 1 13 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 26 9-16 6-8 5-6 3 3 3 0 29 - -
Kevin Huerter * 16 3-5 1-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 7 - -
Trey Lyles 26 4-7 3-6 0-0 5 3 0 1 11 - -
Malik Monk 25 3-10 0-4 4-4 2 5 0 0 10 - -
Keon Ellis 19 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 4 1 2 12 - -
Sasha Vezenkov 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
JaVale McGee 11 2-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 4 4 - -
Kessler Edwards 6 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 7 - -
Chris Duarte 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Davion Mitchell 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter