Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (111-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Coffey * | 39 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 7-8 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 37 | 12-22 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ivica Zubac * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 31 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 23 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 15 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 44 | 9-25 | 2-11 | 8-14 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 36 | 8-21 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 22 | 5-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter