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2023-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% -
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% -
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (127-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 10-18 5-8 5-7 4 14 1 0 30 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 7-15 3-8 4-5 3 5 0 1 21 - -
Saddiq Bey * 31 3-11 2-6 1-1 9 0 0 0 9 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 28 5-10 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 11 - -
Clint Capela * 21 4-6 0-0 7-7 9 2 2 1 15 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 32 8-11 0-1 3-4 11 2 0 0 19 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 29 8-14 4-8 2-2 4 5 1 1 22 - -
Garrison Mathews 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 7 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 44 10-20 3-7 9-9 4 15 1 0 32 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 41 8-14 4-7 14-14 13 1 0 4 34 - -
Jalen Green * 32 7-19 2-7 0-0 4 2 1 1 16 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 7-9 5-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 19 - -
Alperen Sengun * 26 7-12 0-0 0-0 9 5 0 1 14 - -
Aaron Holiday 26 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jeff Green 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Amen Thompson 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter