Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 13-23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 9-22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 16 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 13 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OG Anunoby * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 13-21 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 28 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 24 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 15 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter