Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -9 (106-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 10-17 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 33 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 29 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 34 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 25 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 14 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter