Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +31 (144-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 34 | 10-26 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 26 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nathan Mensah | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 5 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Leaky Black | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 27 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 26 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 28 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 23 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 7 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter