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2023-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 47.4% 52.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Log Adjusted 78.8% 21.2% -
Points Off/Def 67.4% 32.6% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +5 (109-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 38 16-28 1-3 7-8 4 5 2 0 40 - -
Devin Booker * 37 11-25 1-5 3-4 3 7 0 0 26 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 5-10 1-5 0-1 9 0 2 0 11 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 4-11 0-2 1-2 13 3 2 2 9 - -
Nassir Little * 19 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Eric Gordon 28 1-7 1-4 2-2 3 4 2 0 5 - -
Jordan Goodwin 19 1-7 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 3 5 - -
Chimezie Metu 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deandre Ayton * 40 6-18 0-0 4-4 15 3 0 0 16 - -
Anfernee Simons * 37 9-23 2-7 3-5 3 7 1 0 23 - -
Jerami Grant * 35 8-15 3-4 3-3 1 4 0 2 22 - -
Toumani Camara * 21 2-4 1-1 0-0 9 0 3 1 5 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 32 5-10 4-9 0-0 4 4 0 0 14 - -
Scoot Henderson 29 3-9 0-2 3-3 4 5 0 0 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 2-3 2-3 2-2 1 0 3 1 8 - -
Jabari Walker 9 3-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Duop Reath 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter