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2023-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 51.0% 49.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 61.8% 38.2% -2.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% -
Log Adjusted 71.7% 28.3% -
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (132-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 41 10-22 1-4 7-8 8 7 0 1 28 - -
Jayson Tatum * 40 5-17 2-9 3-3 8 7 2 0 15 - -
Derrick White * 40 11-24 7-18 1-2 7 3 0 3 30 - -
Al Horford * 38 4-14 3-10 2-2 12 6 0 1 13 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 5-12 1-5 2-2 7 1 2 0 13 - -
Neemias Queta 20 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 0 10 - -
Sam Hauser 20 0-7 0-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 4-6 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 11 - -
Oshae Brissett 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 39 9-21 6-15 0-0 4 4 1 1 24 - -
Stephen Curry * 38 11-21 6-11 5-5 3 6 0 0 33 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 33 8-13 1-4 0-2 7 2 2 0 17 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Kevon Looney * 14 1-2 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 3 - -
Chris Paul 35 4-12 1-5 0-0 7 12 0 0 9 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 28 5-7 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 3 10 - -
Andrew Wiggins 21 2-11 0-1 2-2 7 1 0 0 6 - -
Moses Moody 16 3-9 2-6 2-2 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Dario Saric 14 3-6 3-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Cory Joseph 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -

* = starter