Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (132-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 28 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 23 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 14-22 | 7-12 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 14 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 26 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 18 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter