Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +12 (143-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 29 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 28 | 10-18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 28 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 10-19 | 2-7 | 8-12 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 32 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 32 | 11-16 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter