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2023-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 13.8% 86.2% +10.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 31.7% 68.3% -
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -
Points Off/Def 21.1% 78.9% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +12 (143-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 29 8-16 3-7 8-8 8 1 0 1 27 21 -
Jordan Poole * 28 10-18 8-13 0-0 0 2 0 0 28 12 -
Tyus Jones * 28 7-10 2-2 0-0 1 9 1 0 16 17 -
Daniel Gafford * 24 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 3 8 12 -
Deni Avdija * 23 3-8 1-3 2-4 5 3 1 0 9 10 -
Bilal Coulibaly 33 3-7 0-2 5-7 4 2 0 1 11 11 -
Mike Muscala 23 2-3 1-1 6-6 6 2 1 1 11 18 -
Corey Kispert 20 2-6 2-5 1-2 3 3 0 0 7 7 -
Anthony Gill 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 6 -
Jared Butler 4 3-4 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
Eugene Omoruyi 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 33 8-11 2-4 1-1 0 0 1 0 19 9 -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 10-19 2-7 8-12 5 6 3 1 30 26 -
Keegan Murray * 32 9-17 4-7 3-3 5 4 1 0 25 18 -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 11-16 1-1 5-6 13 12 0 1 28 38 -
Kevin Huerter * 23 4-8 1-4 2-2 4 2 0 1 11 10 -
Malik Monk 21 3-7 3-6 1-2 1 6 0 1 10 11 -
Trey Lyles 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Keon Ellis 14 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 3 3 -
Sasha Vezenkov 11 3-5 2-3 0-0 7 1 2 0 8 13 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Chris Duarte 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Kessler Edwards 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
Davion Mitchell 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Colby Jones 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter