Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +19 (116-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Gilyard * | 34 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 27 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 24 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 21 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 19 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 28 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 13-14 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 24 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 23 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vasilije Micic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 6 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter