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2023-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +15 (114-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 38 5-16 3-9 2-2 7 5 4 0 15 - -
Brandon Miller * 36 6-16 0-5 2-2 3 0 0 1 14 - -
Terry Rozier * 32 9-20 2-8 2-2 3 7 3 1 22 - -
Bryce McGowens * 32 4-9 2-5 4-4 5 1 1 1 14 - -
Nick Richards * 32 4-5 0-0 2-2 10 3 0 0 10 - -
Ish Smith 22 4-10 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 8 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 20 3-9 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 7 - -
JT Thor 13 2-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Leaky Black 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 38 7-14 1-2 7-7 17 7 0 3 22 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 11-16 0-1 5-6 8 8 1 0 27 - -
Dennis Schroder * 34 4-6 3-5 2-2 0 5 0 0 13 - -
OG Anunoby * 32 2-10 0-5 1-1 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 34 9-17 4-10 0-0 10 3 1 0 22 - -
Precious Achiuwa 17 5-9 0-1 2-4 7 1 1 0 12 - -
Malachi Flynn 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 14 3-6 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 7 - -

* = starter