Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -4 (108-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 39 | 13-25 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 21 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 33 | 10-18 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 30 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 22 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter