🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 64.8% 35.2% -3.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% -
Log Adjusted 27.6% 72.4% -
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +6 (130-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 44 16-24 3-5 8-9 5 7 3 1 43 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 38 9-17 5-9 2-3 2 2 0 0 25 - -
Jaden Ivey * 29 6-13 0-2 3-5 8 4 0 0 15 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 22 7-12 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 17 - -
Ausar Thompson * 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 8 3 1 0 2 - -
James Wiseman 24 5-5 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 0 10 - -
Alec Burks 23 2-11 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Marcus Sasser 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 5 - -
Joe Harris 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 1 1 - -
Isaiah Livers 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 42 8-15 2-7 3-5 4 1 2 0 21 - -
Trae Young * 37 8-17 4-11 11-12 4 15 0 0 31 - -
Dejounte Murray * 32 8-13 3-5 1-2 3 3 1 1 20 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 29 7-15 5-6 0-0 6 2 1 2 19 - -
Clint Capela * 27 7-11 0-0 3-3 15 2 1 3 17 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 23 5-6 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 1 14 - -
Garrison Mathews 22 2-5 2-5 0-1 3 0 0 2 6 - -
Wesley Matthews 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Seth Lundy 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter