Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (135-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 45 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 34 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 30 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 33 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 23 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 17 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 45 | 14-27 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 37 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 34 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 27 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 24 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter