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2023-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 9.9% 90.1% -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 12.5% 87.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% -
Points Off/Def 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (112-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 38 9-15 4-6 0-0 4 11 6 1 22 - -
Daniel Gafford * 35 10-13 0-0 6-7 17 3 0 2 26 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 7-22 3-13 0-2 7 2 0 2 17 - -
Jordan Poole * 31 5-17 2-9 2-2 4 4 1 0 14 - -
Deni Avdija * 31 2-6 0-1 3-4 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Corey Kispert 25 2-9 2-7 0-0 0 1 0 1 6 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 20 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Danilo Gallinari 12 1-2 1-2 3-3 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Mike Muscala 10 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Anthony Gill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 41 10-24 3-11 4-5 4 8 1 1 27 - -
Kevin Durant * 34 11-24 0-2 6-9 5 5 1 1 28 - -
Grayson Allen * 33 2-8 1-6 6-6 4 3 2 2 11 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 2-7 0-1 2-4 17 5 1 1 6 - -
Nassir Little * 23 2-3 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 5 - -
Eric Gordon 30 5-9 2-6 1-2 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Jordan Goodwin 20 3-7 0-3 0-0 8 6 0 0 6 - -
Drew Eubanks 17 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 12 - -
Chimezie Metu 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter