Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (128-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 39 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 30 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 39 | 10-22 | 1-3 | 5-11 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 36 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 12-13 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Livingston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marques Bolden | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindell Wigginton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter