Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✗ (46.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -36 (110-146). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 26 | 10-17 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 26 | 10-15 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 23 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III | 24 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 21 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 12 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 13 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter