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2023-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +17 (114-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 36 3-14 0-4 2-2 8 6 0 0 8 - -
Paolo Banchero * 35 14-30 4-10 4-6 10 1 2 0 36 - -
Jalen Suggs * 27 5-9 1-4 2-2 5 0 1 0 13 - -
Goga Bitadze * 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 3 4 - -
Anthony Black * 16 2-5 1-3 0-3 2 3 1 0 5 - -
Gary Harris 25 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Cole Anthony 18 2-8 0-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Jonathan Isaac 16 2-5 2-4 2-2 2 0 1 1 8 - -
Caleb Houstan 15 2-4 1-3 3-3 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Moritz Wagner 12 1-3 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Chuma Okeke 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jett Howard 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Admiral Schofield 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 34 6-12 2-5 0-0 6 0 0 2 14 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 12-20 5-8 2-2 5 6 1 1 31 - -
Jayson Tatum * 30 8-21 4-6 3-4 8 3 0 1 23 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 28 6-12 2-4 1-1 10 0 1 1 15 - -
Derrick White * 27 4-9 1-5 1-1 5 4 1 3 10 - -
Al Horford 23 3-7 2-3 0-0 8 2 0 1 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 20 2-5 1-1 0-0 6 3 0 1 5 - -
Sam Hauser 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Neemias Queta 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Oshae Brissett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Lamar Stevens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter