Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -11 (120-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 15-28 | 4-12 | 6-6 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 27 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 35 | 8-21 | 5-15 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 19 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 38 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 35 | 13-22 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 24 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 24 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Matisse Thybulle | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 15 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter