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2023-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +18 (127-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 27 8-14 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 1 17 - -
T.J. McConnell * 25 5-12 0-1 0-0 4 6 2 1 10 - -
Myles Turner * 21 2-7 1-2 7-8 5 0 1 0 12 - -
Buddy Hield * 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin * 16 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Aaron Nesmith 26 7-14 2-4 1-1 5 0 0 1 17 - -
Jarace Walker 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 5 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 23 3-11 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 6 - -
Isaiah Jackson 19 6-6 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 2 12 - -
Ben Sheppard 16 3-5 0-2 2-4 3 0 2 0 8 - -
Jordan Nwora 10 3-4 0-1 1-1 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Oscar Tshiebwe 7 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 8 - -
James Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 15-25 2-3 8-8 12 4 3 2 40 - -
Anthony Edwards * 33 14-23 7-10 2-2 2 4 3 0 37 - -
Rudy Gobert * 25 2-3 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 1 5 - -
Mike Conley * 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 9 1 0 5 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Naz Reid 27 6-8 3-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 17 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 25 1-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Kyle Anderson 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 10 0 0 4 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 11 - -
Shake Milton 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter