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2023-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - ✓
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.9% 66.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (127-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 11-21 7-12 6-6 4 10 0 1 35 - -
Saddiq Bey * 36 1-9 1-7 2-2 6 0 2 0 5 - -
Dejounte Murray * 36 8-19 0-5 5-6 3 6 1 1 21 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 32 7-12 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 16 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 26 5-7 2-2 6-6 2 0 1 0 18 - -
Wesley Matthews 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 15 5-7 0-0 3-5 8 1 0 1 13 - -
Garrison Mathews 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Patty Mills 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Trent Forrest 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 40 7-21 4-9 4-4 5 13 2 0 22 - -
Jarrett Allen * 34 12-14 0-0 1-1 14 1 2 1 25 - -
Max Strus * 34 4-13 1-8 2-2 6 5 1 1 11 - -
Isaac Okoro * 31 6-9 3-4 3-4 3 3 1 0 18 - -
Dean Wade * 22 5-8 4-7 2-2 5 3 1 0 16 - -
Caris LeVert 24 6-15 1-4 1-2 5 1 1 1 14 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 15 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 6 - -
Georges Niang 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Sam Merrill 7 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -

* = starter