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2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% -
Bradley-Terry 51.1% 48.9% -
Margin 58.0% 42.0% -1.8 (33.8 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Log Adjusted 16.6% 83.4% -
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +32 (146-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 31 10-17 0-2 5-6 1 6 1 0 25 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 30 8-15 2-6 6-6 2 2 0 0 24 - -
Ausar Thompson * 23 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 7 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 21 6-11 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 2 12 - -
Killian Hayes * 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 - -
Jaden Ivey 28 5-17 2-6 1-2 4 2 1 1 13 - -
James Wiseman 26 7-9 0-0 3-3 6 5 1 0 17 - -
Isaiah Livers 26 1-8 0-5 0-0 4 1 3 1 2 - -
Marcus Sasser 16 2-4 1-2 6-6 1 2 2 0 11 - -
Kevin Knox II 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Joe Harris 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alec Burks 4 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
MarJon Beauchamp * 32 4-8 1-2 2-2 6 1 2 0 11 - -
Damian Lillard * 29 11-22 6-14 5-5 4 5 0 1 33 - -
Brook Lopez * 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 5 5 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 25 4-8 2-5 0-0 8 1 0 0 10 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 25 7-9 0-0 8-13 8 6 1 0 22 - -
Bobby Portis 26 11-18 4-7 5-5 12 1 1 0 31 - -
AJ Green 19 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Cameron Payne 15 3-5 1-3 4-4 1 5 1 0 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 12 2-2 1-1 1-1 4 2 0 1 6 - -
Chris Livingston 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Robin Lopez 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Lindell Wigginton 4 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter