Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (96-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 40 | 10-20 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 28 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 18 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 39 | 11-25 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 32 | 8-23 | 0-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose * | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 28 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jacob Gilyard | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter