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2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 38.1% 61.9% +2.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% -
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% -
Points Off/Def 57.8% 42.2% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (129-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 35 5-10 2-6 0-0 3 1 1 1 12 - -
LeBron James * 35 7-17 2-6 7-10 7 14 2 0 23 - -
Austin Reaves * 34 8-18 4-10 2-2 7 4 0 0 22 - -
Max Christie * 23 1-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 19 3-4 0-0 2-3 7 0 1 1 8 - -
Rui Hachimura 34 8-15 0-5 4-5 5 4 0 1 20 - -
Christian Wood 30 6-10 2-5 3-8 8 3 1 2 17 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
D'Moi Hodge 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 5 - -
Colin Castleton 5 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 35 12-19 5-10 7-7 6 3 1 1 36 - -
Malaki Branham * 32 5-8 2-3 0-0 4 8 1 1 12 - -
Keldon Johnson * 30 6-16 3-8 2-2 2 6 0 0 17 - -
Victor Wembanyama * 30 5-13 1-2 2-3 15 5 2 2 13 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 26 5-10 0-3 1-1 8 2 1 1 11 - -
Cedi Osman 24 6-11 3-6 0-0 2 6 0 0 15 - -
Zach Collins 18 5-9 1-2 5-6 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Doug McDermott 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Julian Champagnie 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Devonte' Graham 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Blake Wesley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter