Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✗ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -21 (104-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 35 | 15-29 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 26 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 33 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 32 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Seth Lundy | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 20 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 17 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Gradey Dick | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter