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2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.6% 75.4% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% -
Log Adjusted 21.8% 78.2% -
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +17 (128-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 34 6-14 1-4 4-4 5 5 3 0 17 - -
Paolo Banchero * 32 5-17 1-4 3-6 4 5 0 1 14 - -
Anthony Black * 28 5-8 3-5 0-0 9 4 0 0 13 - -
Goga Bitadze * 26 7-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 15 - -
Jalen Suggs * 26 7-12 5-9 0-0 4 1 0 1 19 - -
Cole Anthony 20 5-8 2-3 5-6 0 4 1 0 17 - -
Jonathan Isaac 15 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Gary Harris 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Moritz Wagner 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Caleb Houstan 10 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Joe Ingles 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Chuma Okeke 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jett Howard 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 11-22 2-9 6-9 6 4 0 0 30 - -
Derrick White * 30 7-15 3-7 2-2 4 8 4 1 19 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 8-15 0-5 2-3 3 4 0 1 18 - -
Jrue Holiday * 28 2-7 2-3 0-0 4 4 2 1 6 - -
Lamar Stevens * 14 3-7 1-3 1-2 3 0 2 1 8 - -
Sam Hauser 31 4-8 3-6 0-0 7 4 4 0 11 - -
Payton Pritchard 28 7-10 6-7 1-2 3 5 1 0 21 - -
Neemias Queta 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 3 4 - -
Oshae Brissett 15 4-4 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter