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2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% -
Bradley-Terry 72.6% 27.4% -
Margin 83.9% 16.1% -9.1 (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 62.9% 37.1% -
Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% -
Log Adjusted 79.1% 20.9% -
Points Off/Def 69.7% 30.3% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +14 (137-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 27 7-17 2-6 3-3 2 11 0 0 19 - -
Buddy Hield * 27 4-14 3-11 0-0 3 3 2 3 11 - -
Obi Toppin * 26 6-8 2-3 2-3 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Bruce Brown * 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Myles Turner * 19 2-10 1-4 1-2 4 1 0 3 6 - -
Aaron Nesmith 23 4-10 3-8 1-3 3 1 2 1 12 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 21 4-9 1-1 4-4 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Isaiah Jackson 19 10-13 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 1 20 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 4-10 0-0 1-1 3 9 1 0 9 - -
Jarace Walker 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Ben Sheppard 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 4 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Oscar Tshiebwe 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 32 12-18 3-4 3-4 4 8 1 0 30 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 11-23 4-9 5-8 5 4 1 0 31 - -
Daniel Gafford * 28 3-6 0-0 3-4 10 4 0 3 9 - -
Tyus Jones * 28 6-7 1-2 0-0 10 11 2 2 13 - -
Deni Avdija * 24 2-9 0-0 2-2 6 4 0 0 6 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 30 6-9 2-3 3-3 5 0 2 1 17 - -
Corey Kispert 28 9-14 3-7 2-3 1 1 1 1 23 - -
Mike Muscala 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Danilo Gallinari 10 1-2 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Jared Butler 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter