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2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% -
Efficiency 86.3% 13.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% -
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% -
Points Off/Def 73.0% 27.0% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -5 (107-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 37 11-16 2-4 5-6 13 4 0 2 29 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 7-18 3-9 2-2 5 4 1 1 19 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 3-8 0-1 2-2 3 7 0 0 8 - -
Zion Williamson * 30 9-16 0-0 3-4 11 4 0 0 21 - -
Herbert Jones * 27 3-4 1-2 4-6 2 1 1 1 11 - -
Trey Murphy III 25 3-7 1-5 6-6 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Jose Alvarado 21 1-6 1-3 5-6 8 1 1 1 8 - -
Dyson Daniels 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Hawkins 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 39 11-25 4-11 4-4 4 6 3 0 30 - -
Miles Bridges * 38 10-24 2-8 5-6 10 2 1 0 27 - -
Brandon Miller * 35 7-16 2-5 0-2 4 3 1 0 16 - -
Gordon Hayward * 33 4-10 1-4 0-0 3 4 1 1 9 - -
Nick Richards * 30 7-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 16 - -
Bryce McGowens 20 2-5 0-2 3-5 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Ish Smith 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 - -
Nathan Mensah 12 0-1 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter