Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (128-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 13-27 | 1-5 | 16-18 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 43 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 28 | 2-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 40 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 14-25 | 5-11 | 8-11 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 32 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 27 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sasha Vezenkov | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter