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2023-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.3% 76.7% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -
Points Off/Def 27.3% 72.7% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +23 (124-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Thomas * 27 5-13 0-2 3-6 3 0 0 0 13 - -
Mikal Bridges * 24 3-8 2-6 1-2 0 1 1 0 9 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 24 5-11 1-4 6-7 4 8 1 0 17 - -
Cameron Johnson * 22 4-10 2-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Nic Claxton * 17 5-9 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 10 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 25 4-9 0-1 0-0 13 5 0 1 8 - -
Trendon Watford 22 4-10 0-1 0-0 4 6 0 2 8 - -
Jalen Wilson 16 2-3 1-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Armoni Brooks 15 2-9 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 1 6 - -
Royce O'Neale 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 14 4-9 0-1 3-3 6 1 1 0 11 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 29 8-12 0-2 10-12 15 10 1 0 26 - -
Justin Holiday * 27 1-6 0-5 0-0 1 2 4 0 2 - -
Aaron Gordon * 23 6-9 0-1 1-1 2 2 1 1 13 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 23 3-8 1-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Jamal Murray * 22 7-15 2-4 0-0 1 2 3 1 16 - -
Peyton Watson 24 7-10 2-5 2-3 7 5 1 1 18 - -
Christian Braun 24 4-10 1-3 1-1 4 2 0 2 10 - -
Reggie Jackson 23 4-13 2-4 2-2 0 4 2 0 12 - -
Julian Strawther 19 3-11 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
DeAndre Jordan 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 - -
Zeke Nnaji 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Pickett 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Hunter Tyson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter