Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.7% | 32.3% | -4.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -18 (101-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 34 | 3-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 31 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 31 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 20 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 15-27 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 36 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 28 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 4-15 | 0-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter