Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (116-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Coby White * | 39 | 9-20 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 35 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 4 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 35 | 10-12 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dalen Terry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Martin * | 38 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 34 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 21 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter