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2023-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 39 12-24 2-8 5-5 8 6 1 0 31 - -
Jarrett Allen * 39 4-7 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 0 8 - -
Darius Garland * 36 8-19 3-7 0-0 2 3 2 0 19 - -
Max Strus * 31 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Dean Wade * 15 1-5 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Caris LeVert 35 9-16 3-6 5-6 3 5 3 1 26 - -
Georges Niang 22 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Isaac Okoro 17 2-2 1-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Tristan Thompson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 37 7-11 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 9-22 3-10 6-8 11 3 0 3 27 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 10-20 2-5 0-0 5 5 2 0 22 - -
Derrick White * 35 5-10 2-4 2-2 5 3 3 0 14 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 30 5-11 1-6 7-8 6 0 1 2 18 - -
Al Horford 23 3-4 1-2 0-0 10 3 0 1 7 - -
Sam Hauser 18 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 8 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 1 4 - -

* = starter