Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +14 (140-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 30 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 25 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 5 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 37 | 20-28 | 0-3 | 24-32 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 64 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter