Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +7 (135-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 39 | 13-27 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 32 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OG Anunoby * | 36 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 12-19 | 5-6 | 4-7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 11-14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 20 | 4-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter