Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (115-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Richards * | 39 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 15 | - | |
| Brandon Miller * | 38 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 37 | 10-14 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 29 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 34 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 34 | 9-19 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| JT Thor | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 40 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 24 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 33 | 7-16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 20 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
* = starter