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2023-12-14

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Log Adjusted 80.7% 19.3% -
Points Off/Def 71.1% 28.9% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -20 (122-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 6-9 1-1 3-4 18 3 1 1 16 - -
CJ McCollum * 32 8-14 4-6 2-2 3 6 0 0 22 - -
Brandon Ingram * 30 14-23 1-4 11-12 2 3 0 1 40 - -
Herbert Jones * 19 3-9 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 6 - -
Dyson Daniels * 15 1-6 0-4 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 - -
Trey Murphy III 32 7-10 6-7 7-8 6 4 2 1 27 - -
Naji Marshall 27 6-11 2-5 2-2 4 7 2 0 16 - -
Jose Alvarado 18 2-3 2-3 1-2 2 1 2 0 7 - -
Jordan Hawkins 18 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Cody Zeller 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 31 5-12 1-5 0-0 1 4 2 1 11 - -
Deni Avdija * 29 4-8 1-3 4-4 5 7 0 0 13 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 29 10-19 4-8 3-4 7 4 1 1 27 - -
Tyus Jones * 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 6 - -
Daniel Gafford * 23 5-6 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 2 13 - -
Bilal Coulibaly 31 6-9 4-6 0-2 5 1 1 1 16 - -
Corey Kispert 21 4-7 3-6 1-2 3 0 0 1 12 - -
Danilo Gallinari 15 2-6 1-3 4-4 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Jared Butler 13 2-4 2-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 8 - -
Anthony Gill 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 4 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Mike Muscala 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter