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2023-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 (27.2 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.3% 21.7% -
Log Adjusted 78.3% 21.7% -
Points Off/Def 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -18 (111-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 32 2-13 0-6 5-6 4 9 0 0 9 - -
Joel Embiid * 31 14-24 1-3 12-12 11 5 2 0 41 - -
Tobias Harris * 26 7-10 3-5 4-4 7 1 0 1 21 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 21 4-9 2-4 0-0 6 1 1 2 10 - -
Nicolas Batum * 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 22 7-9 2-4 1-2 3 1 2 0 17 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 4 - -
Robert Covington 16 2-4 0-2 1-1 6 2 0 0 5 - -
Paul Reed 13 1-3 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Patrick Beverley 12 1-3 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Danuel House Jr. 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 6 1-2 1-1 2-4 0 2 0 0 5 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
KJ Martin 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Mo Bamba 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 33 11-19 5-9 6-8 1 2 1 0 33 - -
Killian Hayes * 31 3-8 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 6 - -
Cade Cunningham * 30 5-17 1-8 10-12 6 7 0 0 21 - -
Ausar Thompson * 29 5-7 0-1 0-0 8 3 1 0 10 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 22 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Livers 27 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Jaden Ivey 21 2-8 0-3 3-6 2 1 0 1 7 - -
James Wiseman 16 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 10 - -
Alec Burks 13 1-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Kevin Knox II 9 2-5 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 7 - -
Marcus Sasser 5 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter