🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% - ✗
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 ✗ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - ✓
Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (119-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 32 8-24 4-15 4-4 5 4 3 0 24 - -
Klay Thompson * 27 2-10 1-8 2-2 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Draymond Green * 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 14 1-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 - -
Chris Paul 30 5-8 3-4 2-3 5 11 2 0 15 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 28 6-10 1-3 3-7 6 0 1 0 16 - -
Brandin Podziemski 28 9-14 2-4 0-1 11 5 1 0 20 - -
Moses Moody 23 3-6 2-3 4-6 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Dario Saric 19 5-9 2-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 15 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 36 12-23 3-6 5-5 4 7 1 1 32 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 3-9 1-3 10-11 13 7 1 0 17 - -
Bradley Beal * 27 5-12 1-3 5-7 3 3 1 1 16 - -
Chimezie Metu * 25 5-7 3-5 1-2 5 0 1 0 14 - -
Josh Okogie * 11 3-4 3-4 1-2 2 2 0 1 10 - -
Eric Gordon 31 3-11 1-6 1-1 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Jordan Goodwin 29 5-10 1-5 5-5 5 6 2 1 16 - -
Yuta Watanabe 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 2 3 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bol Bol 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter