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2023-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.3% 32.7% -
Log Adjusted 67.3% 32.7% -
Points Off/Def 58.4% 41.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 32 6-13 1-2 1-2 7 6 0 0 14 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 31 6-16 2-8 3-4 7 0 1 0 17 - -
Reggie Jackson * 31 9-16 5-8 2-2 2 6 0 0 25 - -
Nikola Jokic * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 9 6 0 0 4 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
DeAndre Jordan 24 2-4 0-0 5-10 10 2 1 2 9 - -
Julian Strawther 22 4-9 2-5 6-8 6 3 1 0 16 - -
Justin Holiday 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Peyton Watson 22 1-6 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 1 4 - -
Christian Braun 22 4-6 2-4 3-4 2 2 0 1 13 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 37 3-7 1-4 2-2 3 3 0 1 9 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 3-13 1-4 7-7 4 5 1 2 14 - -
Coby White * 34 8-15 5-10 6-6 4 8 1 0 27 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 12-21 1-4 1-1 16 5 0 2 26 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 2-8 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 1 7 - -
Torrey Craig 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 15 3-10 3-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Andre Drummond 14 3-4 0-0 2-3 4 0 2 2 8 - -
Dalen Terry 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Julian Phillips 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Terry Taylor 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter