Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (127-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 14-27 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 15-21 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 37 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 36 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 31 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 28 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 43 | 12-28 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 40 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 35 | 8-10 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 36 | 10-21 | 5-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter