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2023-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Strus * 37 6-15 5-11 0-0 9 3 0 0 17 - -
Darius Garland * 37 11-23 4-8 0-0 2 7 1 0 26 - -
Jarrett Allen * 36 6-9 0-0 2-5 5 5 3 2 14 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 35 11-22 5-13 2-2 6 3 1 0 29 - -
Dean Wade * 19 2-6 2-6 2-2 3 3 0 1 8 - -
Georges Niang 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Caris LeVert 22 5-11 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 11 - -
Isaac Okoro 16 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Tristan Thompson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 7-19 2-9 9-9 10 5 0 2 25 - -
Derrick White * 36 5-9 5-8 2-2 4 4 1 2 17 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 10-17 1-5 4-4 2 4 1 1 25 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 2 3 1 11 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 31 5-16 2-6 9-9 10 3 1 2 21 - -
Al Horford 22 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 - -
Sam Hauser 19 3-5 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 11 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 3 2 1 6 - -
Luke Kornet 8 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter