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2023-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Log Adjusted 34.1% 65.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +4 (133-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 45 12-20 6-10 3-4 6 4 1 0 33 - -
Patrick Williams * 41 6-14 1-2 2-2 7 2 0 0 15 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 41 14-30 3-6 10-12 2 11 0 0 41 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 38 6-16 2-5 0-0 10 5 1 1 14 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 26 0-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Torrey Craig 28 2-9 1-5 2-4 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Andre Drummond 14 3-12 0-0 3-3 16 1 1 0 9 - -
Jevon Carter 13 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 7 - -
Dalen Terry 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 - -
Julian Phillips 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 40 3-17 2-9 6-7 4 9 0 1 14 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 40 9-13 0-0 14-18 12 6 2 0 32 - -
Brook Lopez * 40 6-11 2-6 5-6 3 3 1 3 19 - -
Malik Beasley * 39 7-11 5-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 19 - -
Khris Middleton * 32 5-11 0-3 3-4 13 6 1 0 13 - -
Bobby Portis 24 7-11 1-3 2-2 7 0 0 0 17 - -
Cameron Payne 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 5 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
AJ Green 13 4-6 4-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 12 - -

* = starter