Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -7 (113-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 43 | 9-21 | 5-10 | 12-13 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Dante Exum * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 35 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 33 | 7-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 18 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 13 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 41 | 15-29 | 6-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 41 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 38 | 11-20 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| David Roddy * | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter